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Predicting the future is deeply personal

Ron Immink
13 min readDec 14, 2020

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It is known as the automation paradox: the skills you automate, you lose. Including managing and predicting your own future.

AI

AI at the core. Data-driven enterprises. Autonomous business. It sounds incredibly interesting and terrifying at the same. Particularly once you read up on AI.

We are messy

The idea that AI could predict the future just does not sit well. It feels a bit like some of the thinking in transhumanism, where people are regarded as too unpredictable and messy. AI can predict behaviour, can recognise patterns, can play GO and chess better than anyone in the world, but they can’t be as messy as we are. These predictive systems are frequently wrong, as when they recommend a book I already own. Those flaws are trivial because the recommendation is so cheap to produce and easy to ignore. But when determining who should have access to social services or healthcare, or who might commit crimes, such errors carry more weight and warning.

Uncharted: How to Map the Future

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Ron Immink
Ron Immink

Written by Ron Immink

Father of two, strategy and innovation specialist, entreprenerd, author, speaker, business book geek, perception pionieer. See www.ronimmink.com

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